Wednesday, 10 April 2019

Brazilian Stock Exchange (Bovespa) have the largest fall of the last two weeks

The Ibovespa, index that measures the price variation of the main shares traded on the Bovespa dropped 1.11% yesterday, April 3, 2019. The market saw with pessimism the statement of Economy Minister Paulo Guedes, who said that he will not assume the position of articulator of the Pension Reform in the Brazilian National Congress.

Also yesterday, the IMF reduced Brazil's GDP forecast in 2019. According to the IMF's World Economic Outlook report, Brazil's GDP growth forecast is now 2.1% in 2019. The forecast made in January 2019 by the same IMF was that the Brazilian GDP would grow around 2.5% this year.

In the Bolsonaro administration, there is no economic development plan for the country. Economy Minister Paulo Guedes believes growth will only come after the approval of the Pension Reform. However, several Brazilian economists like Nelson Marconi and Paulo Feldmann believe that the government should adopt other measures, in addition to the Pension Reform, to combat unemployment in the country.

The same IMF report pointed out that Venezuela's GDP fell by 18% in 2018 and should fall 25% in 2019. As a result of these declines, Venezuela's economy in 2020 will be almost half of what it was in 2017.

The inflation forecast by the IMF for Argentina in 2019 is 43.7%. Because of this, the IMF decided to release a US $ 10.8 billion pass-through to the Macri government, which was unable to resolve the economic crisis and faced a decline in its popularity. Over the past six months, some 2.7 million Argentines fell under the category of poor and destitute. In total, there are already 12.9 million poor and indigent people in the country with just over 44 million inhabitants.

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