Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF)

Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF), a liquid alternative to conventional fossil-based jet kerosene, is a renewable fuel derived from non-petroleum feedstocks. Developed as a critical component in the global aviation industry's effort to achieve net-zero carbon emissions by 2050, SAF is chemically identical to conventional jet fuel — a characteristic known as "drop-in" capability — meaning it can be used in existing aircraft engines and airport infrastructure without modification. While SAF currently accounts for less than 1 percent of global aviation fuel consumption, it is widely regarded as the most viable near-term solution for decarbonizing the aviation sector, which is responsible for approximately 2 to 3 percent of global anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions.

Production and Pathways

The production of SAF involves converting renewable biomass or waste materials into hydrocarbons suitable for aviation. Unlike conventional jet fuel, which is refined from crude oil, SAF utilizes a diverse range of feedstocks, including used cooking oils, agricultural residues, municipal solid waste, and energy crops such as sugarcane or camelina. Several technical pathways have been certified for SAF production:

• Hydroprocessed Esters and Fatty Acids (HEFA): The most mature and widely used method, HEFA converts vegetable oils and waste fats into fuel through a process of deoxygenation and hydrocracking.
• Alcohol-to-Jet (AtJ): This pathway involves the fermentation of sugars or starches into alcohols (such as ethanol or isobutanol), which are then dehydrated and oligomerized into synthetic paraffinic kerosene.
• Fischer-Tropsch (FT): This process gasifies biomass or municipal waste into a synthesis gas (syngas), which is then catalytically converted into liquid hydrocarbons.
• Power-to-Liquid (PtL): Also known as e-fuels, this advanced pathway uses renewable electricity to synthesize fuel from captured CO2 and hydrogen produced via electrolysis of water.

In many instances, SAF is produced through "co-processing," where renewable feedstocks are integrated directly into existing petroleum refineries alongside mineral crude oil. This approach leverages existing industrial infrastructure to lower initial capital expenditures.

Competitive Advantage

The primary competitive advantage of SAF lies in its seamless integration into the existing aviation ecosystem. Because it is a "drop-in" fuel, it avoids the massive costs associated with redesigning aircraft or rebuilding refueling networks. Furthermore, SAF provides a degree of energy security by diversifying fuel sources and reducing dependence on volatile global oil markets. For nations with robust agricultural sectors, such as Brazil and the United States, SAF production offers significant economic opportunities, creating new value chains in the bioenergy and chemical industries.

Ecological Impact

The ecological benefit of SAF is primarily realized through its lifecycle carbon footprint. While burning SAF in an engine still releases CO2, the carbon emitted was previously absorbed from the atmosphere by the biomass during its growth, creating a closed-loop cycle. In contrast, conventional jet fuel introduces "new" carbon into the atmosphere from underground reserves.

Current SAF production can reduce lifecycle CO2 emissions by up to 80 or 87 percent compared to conventional kerosene. Additionally, SAF contains significantly lower levels of sulfur and aromatics, which reduces the emission of particulate matter and the formation of contrails — the white streaks behind aircraft that contribute to non-CO2 radiative forcing and global warming. However, the overall ecological benefit depends heavily on the sustainability of the feedstock; for instance, feedstocks that compete with food crops or lead to deforestation (indirect land-use change) may diminish the fuel's environmental credentials.

Applications and Market Mechanisms

SAF is primarily applied in commercial and military aviation, where it is typically blended with conventional jet fuel (currently up to a 50 percent limit for most certified pathways). Beyond its physical use, the industry has developed innovative market mechanisms to accelerate adoption:

• Book & Claim: This system allows an airline or corporate customer to purchase the environmental attributes of SAF produced in one location, even if the physical fuel is consumed elsewhere. This decoupling of the environmental credit from the physical product overcomes logistical barriers and reduces the emissions associated with transporting heavy fuel over long distances.
• Regulatory Compliance: SAF is increasingly used to meet international mandates, such as the Carbon Offsetting and Reduction Scheme for International Aviation (CORSIA) established by the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO).

As production scales and technological advancements reduce the current price premium — which ranges from three to five times the cost of conventional fuel — SAF is expected to become the standard propellant for the next generation of sustainable air travel.

Brazil’s Biogas and Biomethane Market Accelerates with New Power Plants, Billion-Real Investments and SAF Projects

From Landfill to Low-Carbon Jet Fuel: How Brazil's Biomethane Policy is Redefining the Circular Economy and Global Climate Fight

Brazil is rapidly emerging as a global laboratory for the circular economy and a key player in the fight against climate change, driven by an accelerating market for biogas and biomethane. This energy revolution is not merely a matter of market growth; it is a systemic policy shift that transforms waste management into a high-value, low-carbon energy source, positioning the nation at the forefront of responsible fuel production and decarbonization efforts.

The expansion is marked by significant private investment, new power generation capacity, and pioneering projects in Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF), reinforcing Brazil’s commitment to a cleaner energy matrix and its global climate pledges.

The Policy Pivot: Biomethane as a Decarbonization Bridge

While Brazil already boasts one of the world's cleanest energy matrices, largely thanks to hydro, wind, and solar power, the challenge of decarbonizing transport and industry remains. Biomethane, a renewable natural gas derived from organic waste, is increasingly viewed as the essential "bridge fuel" for this transition — Brazil's light-duty vehicle fleet, predominantly composed of flex-fuel vehicles (approx. 85%), utilizes ethanol in two main ways: as a mandatory blend in gasoline (E30, with 27-30% ethanol content) and as pure hydrous ethanol, chosen by the driver at the pump. 

Added to all of this, the market is responding with massive scale-up. Gás Verde, a major player, is strategically converting its biogas power plants into biomethane production units. This pivot is ambitious, targeting a quadrupling of output from 160,000 cubic meters per day (m³/d) to 650,000 m³/d over the next three years. This shift reflects a broader trend where biomethane is replacing fossil natural gas in critical sectors, from heavy transport to industrial heat.

This growth is underpinned by robust policy and investment signals. According to the Brazilian Association of Waste and Environment (Abrema), biomethane production is projected to double by the end of 2026, with new plants scheduled through 2029 representing approximately BRL 8.5 billion in committed investments.

Policy Innovation: Recognizing "Bioenergy Recycling"

A critical policy debate is crystallizing the role of biomethane within the national climate strategy. Pedro Maranhão, president of Abrema, highlights the need to formally recognize biomethane production as a form of recycling. This policy recognition is not semantic; it is a powerful mechanism for strengthening Brazil’s waste management strategy and enhancing its circular economy metrics.

Abrema’s concept of "bioenergy recycling" incorporates waste-to-energy processes into official recycling statistics. This has already yielded dramatic results: after including informal waste pickers in national statistics, the recycling rate jumped from 3% to 8%. With the inclusion of energy and fuel generation from waste, the rate has now surpassed 20%. This demonstrates the profound impact of policy-driven resource valorization.

Furthermore, COP30 commitments have spurred concrete action, with Abrema facilitating agreements between municipalities and private companies to expand biomethane-powered fleets and scale up infrastructure investments. The message is clear: the diagnostic phase is over; the time for implementation is now.

SAF Breakthrough: The Circular Economy Takes Flight

The global aviation sector, a hard-to-abate industry, is also looking to Brazil for a sustainable solution. The country’s race to produce Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) has gained a significant contender in Geo bio gas&carbon, which is pioneering a closed-loop system using agricultural residues, specifically vinasse and filter cake from sugarcane, rather than vegetable oils.

This approach is designed to produce a highly competitive SAF with one of the lowest carbon footprints globally. Developed in partnership with Germany’s GIZ, the project involves integrating a new SAF plant with an existing biogas unit in São Paulo. The process is inherently circular: residues are converted into biogas, which is then used to produce SAF. Crucially, the CO₂ utilized in the process is biogenic, ensuring a significantly reduced lifecycle emission profile.

The project, backed by an estimated €7.8 million investment and included in Brazil’s Growth Acceleration Program (PAC), is starting as an industrial-scale pilot with a capacity of 100,000 to 150,000 liters per year.

Global Policy Acceptance: The Corsia Advantage

For SAF to be viable, it must meet stringent international carbon accounting standards. Geo’s sugarcane residue-based route has recently secured approval from Corsia (Carbon Offsetting and Reduction Scheme for International Aviation), the global aviation carbon offsetting scheme.

This certification is a major policy victory, placing the fuel in Corsia’s lowest carbon intensity bracket. As Geo’s Technology Director, Allyson de Oliveira, noted, this ensures maximum economic benefits and global market acceptance, potentially making it the most competitive SAF in the world.

Market Consolidation and Public Support

The momentum is further amplified by market consolidation and public sector support. The strategic, cashless share swap between Orizon Waste Valorization and Vital has created Brazil’s largest waste management company, increasing the waste under management to 14.2 million tons per year, nearly 40% of all waste generated in the country. This consolidation significantly boosts the capacity for large-scale investment in biogas, biomethane, and carbon credit projects.

Simultaneously, the GEF Biogas Brazil Project, a collaboration between the Ministry of Science, Technology and Innovation (MCTI), UNIDO, and the Global Environment Facility (GEF), has provided crucial foundational support. Mobilizing over US$ 270 million in funding and co-financing, the project has trained thousands of professionals and helped shape the public policies that now govern the sector.

As officials highlighted at the project’s closing workshop, biogas is a mature, scalable, and strategic solution for Brazil’s decarbonization goals. Looking ahead, the potential is vast: Paraná’s energy plan suggests that biomethane and biogas could supply up to 38% of the state’s energy matrix by 2050 under favorable conditions, underscoring the profound, long-term impact of today’s policy and investment decisions on the future of responsible energy production.

Raízen’s Vision for SAF Could Transform Brazil into an Aviation Fuel Superpower

In the 1970s, reeling from a global oil crisis, Brazil launched Pro-Álcool, a pioneering program that turned sugarcane into a national fuel staple. Today, as the world faces a dual crisis of geopolitical instability and climate breakdown, Brazil is dusting off its energy-sovereignty playbook for a new, high-stakes arena: the skies.

Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) is no longer a distant green dream; it is becoming a geopolitical and economic imperative. As airlines grapple with the volatility of jet fuel prices, recently underscored by the bankruptcy filing of US-based Spirit Airlines, and stringent new mandates from the EU and UK, the search for a scalable, low-carbon alternative has reached a fever pitch.

A Sleeping Energy Giant

"We often suffer from 'stray dog syndrome' in Brazil," says Raphaella Gomes, CEO of Raízen-Geo Biogás S.A. and one of the country's most influential voices in energy. "We talk too little about our strengths. We treat biofuels as a 'green agenda' item, but it is actually a strategic pillar for industrial development and international trade."

Gomes argues that Brazil is uniquely positioned to fill a massive global supply gap. By 2035, global demand for SAF is expected to hit 50 billion liters. While the US market is likely to be served by domestic production incentivized by protectionist policies, the European and Asian markets are looking for suppliers. Experts predict a 15-billion-liter shortfall in a decade, a gap Brazil is eager to close.

Why Brazil?

The secret lies in what Gomes calls an "integrated agro-energy chain." Brazil isn't just producing fuel; it’s producing it with a carbon intensity that is hard to beat. Brazilian sugarcane ethanol, for instance, has a carbon footprint significantly lower than its international competitors.

But the revolution goes beyond sugarcane. The state of São Paulo has seen its biomethane production skyrocket, reaching 42.7 million cubic meters in 2025—a third of the national total. This "green gas," derived from agricultural waste and urban landfills, can be converted into SAF via "power-to-liquid" pathways.

"Aviation accounts for 2.5% of global CO2 emissions," Gomes explains. "Unlike cars, you can’t easily put a heavy battery on a plane. SAF is the only viable alternative for long-haul flights."

From Necessity to Opportunity

Brazil’s energy journey has always been driven by necessity. Today, the country still imports nearly 90% of its fertilizers and a significant portion of its diesel and liquefied natural gas (LNG). Recent disruptions produced by the US-Iran War and attacks on refineries in Qatar have only highlighted this vulnerability.

However, the same agricultural prowess that makes Brazil dependent on imported fertilizers also provides the "feedstock" for the future. From corn ethanol in the Mato Grosso heartland to biomethane in the outskirts of Campinas, the raw materials for a cleaner sky are already being harvested.

As the Pro-BioQAV (Programa Nacional de Combustível Sustentável de Aviação, in english "National Sustainable Aviation Fuel Program") mandate kicks in 2027, requiring a 1% reduction in aviation emissions, Brazil is moving from intention to action. The goal is to produce 2 billion liters of SAF by 2030. In a world hungry for energy security and decarbonization, Brazil’s "green pre-salt" might just be the fuel that keeps the global economy aloft.

Volkswagen also bets on Brazilian biomethane 

Ricardo Alouche, Vice President of Sales at Volkswagen Trucks and Buses, believes Brazil’s truck market will remain resilient throughout 2026 despite high interest rates, restricted credit conditions, and broader economic uncertainties.

According to Alouche, the federal government's Move Brasil financing program has been a key factor supporting truck sales. 

Looking ahead, Volkswagen is preparing several product launches for Fenatran 2026, Brazil’s largest commercial vehicle exhibition. The company also expects the event to focus more on technology, products, and customer relationships than on discounts and sales promotions, as many buyers are already bringing forward purchasing decisions due to favorable financing conditions.

On alternative propulsion technologies, Alouche highlighted growing interest in electric trucks, biomethane-powered vehicles, and hybrid solutions. All of this is an effort by the automaker to try to find solutions for the fluctuations in the fuel market, which affect those who work in the transportation sector. However, Alouche emphasized that adoption will occur gradually due to infrastructure limitations and cost considerations. Volkswagen is currently testing biomethane trucks in urban sanitation operations and advancing development of its hybrid Meteor truck, which is undergoing advanced testing.

Macaúba Revolution: Brazil’s Answer to Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF)

For decades, farmers in the Brazilian Cerrado viewed the Macaúba palm (Acrocomia aculeata) as nothing more than a nuisance. Its long, razor-sharp thorns made working near it a nightmare, and it seemed to sprout everywhere without being planted. Most landowners simply cut it down to make room for cattle or soy.

But today, this "thorny pest" is being rebranded as "green gold." Some of the world’s most powerful investors are betting billions that this native palm will become the ultimate feedstock for the next generation of sustainable fuels — potentially outperforming soy, palm oil, and even fossil fuels in the race to decarbonize the planet.

THE OIL POWERHOUSE

The numbers behind the Macaúba are staggering. Researchers have discovered that the palm can produce over 4,000 liters of oil per hectare per year. To put that in perspective, soy — currently the primary source for Brazilian biodiesel — produces an average of just 400 liters per hectare. In the same space, the Macaúba yields ten times more oil.

For many specialists the Macaúba is almost like the petroleum of the future. Its oil is uniquely suited for the production of HVO (Hydrotreated Vegetable Oil) and SAF (Sustainable Aviation Fuel). Unlike conventional biodiesel, which often requires engine modifications and limited blending, HVO and SAF are chemically identical to fossil fuels. This means planes and trucks can run on them pure, without a single bolt being changed in their engines.

BEYOND FUEL: A CIRCULAR MIRACLE

The true advantage of the Macaúba lies in its "zero-waste" profile. While soy is primarily grown for its beans, almost every part of the Macaúba fruit has a commercial use:

• The Husk: Burned to generate renewable energy.
• The Pulp: Extracted for HVO and SAF production.
• The Residue: High-protein "cake" used as cattle feed.
• The Endocarp: A hard shell used to produce high-density charcoal for the steel industry.
• The Kernel: Produces a high-value oil for cosmetics and food, similar to coconut oil.

Even the tree itself offers benefits. Its tall, sparse canopy allows sunlight to reach the ground, enabling a system known as "crop-livestock integration." Farmers can plant Macaúba palms directly in their pastures, allowing cattle to graze beneath the trees while harvesting oil from above.

HEALING THE LAND

Perhaps the most compelling environmental argument for the Macaúba is its ability to thrive on degraded land. Brazil has an estimated 50 to 70 million hectares of exhausted pastureland, areas that are currently unproductive and generate near-zero income.

Because the Macaúba is a hardy native species adapted to poor soils, it can be used to reforest these areas, recovering the soil’s organic matter and reducing erosion while providing a sustainable income stream for rural communities.

THE BILLION-DOLLAR BET

The scale of the investment suggests this is more than just a passing trend. Acelen Renováveis, a subsidiary of the UAE’s sovereign wealth fund Mubadala Capital, has announced a 3 billion US dollars plan to build a massive Macaúba supply chain in Brazil.

The company has already established a nursery in Minas Gerais capable of producing 10 million seedlings per year. Their goal is to produce 1 billion liters of HVO and SAF annually by 2038, targeting the lucrative European and American markets where traceability and carbon intensity are strictly regulated.

LESSONS FROM THE PAST

The Macaúba’s rise inevitably draws comparisons to previous "miracle crops" like castor beans (mamona), which were promoted in the early 2000s but failed to reach commercial scale due to low productivity and high costs.

However, proponents argue the Macaúba is different. Unlike the castor bean programs, which were government-led, the Macaúba push is driven by global institutional capital and a real, skyrocketing international demand for aviation decarbonization.

Challenges remain, most notably the difficulty of harvesting fruit from tall, thorny palms and the five-to-six-year wait for the first harvest. But if the bet pays off, Brazil could soon be exporting high-tech fuel made from a plant that farmers once fought to eliminate.

In the Cerrado, the "praga" has become the promise.

Acelen’s $3B Biofuel Push Could Make Brazil a Global Hub for Sustainable Aviation Fuel

Acelen Renováveis, a Brazilian company, is investing $3 billion in an initial phase to produce Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) and renewable diesel from the native macaúba palm. The ambitious project aims to position Brazil as a global leader in sustainable biofuels, with plans for an annual production of 1 million tons of fuel and the cultivation of 180,000 hectares of macaúba on degraded lands.

The project leverages Brazil's extensive degraded land for macaúba cultivation, aiming to establish the country as a leader in sustainable energy. An independent study by Fundação Getúlio Vargas projects an economic impact of $40 billion and the creation of up to 85,000 direct and indirect jobs.

Pedro Estrela, Vice President of New Business and Digital at Acelen Renováveis, emphasized the macaúba's potential. "It's another example of the capacity of Brazilian agribusiness to develop sustainable, scalable, abundant, and competitive energy solutions," Estrela stated. All cultivation will take place on degraded land, converting low-productivity areas into economic units.

Traceability is a crucial element of Acelen's strategy. A recent partnership with a Spanish firm will implement a digital traceability tool for macaúba, ensuring sustainable development from planting to biofuel production. This system will monitor practices and emissions, providing auditable proof of sustainability, essential for regulated markets such as Europe and the United States.

The European market, which mandated 2% SAF usage for airlines in 2023, is a strategic focus. The U.S. market is also developing incentives for renewable diesel and SAF. Brazil anticipates implementing its own SAF mandate by 2027, aligned with the CORSIA (Carbon Offsetting and Reduction Scheme for International Aviation) framework.

Macaúba was selected for its high oil yield, which is 10 times more per hectare than soy, and its resilience to temperature variations and water scarcity. It also contributes to the recovery of degraded land. The primary challenge involves domesticating this native plant for large-scale cultivation.

Acelen has established the Aelen Agripark, an advanced innovation and technology center in Montes Claros, Brazil, dedicated to macaúba domestication. The Agripark features laboratories for genetic mapping, seedling production (with 3 million seedlings already produced), and a pilot extraction plant capable of processing 2 tons of fruit per hour. The annual production target is 10.5 million macaúba seedlings.

The project incorporates a robust social responsibility component, engaging local communities and family farmers. Approximately 20% of the cultivated area, or 36,000 hectares, will involve partnerships with small producers, offering technological support, access to public policies, and guaranteed purchase contracts. This initiative aims to boost income and enhance living conditions in rural areas.

Founded in 2023 with investment from Mubadala Capital, Acelen Renováveis plans to construct the first Brazilian biorefinery starting in 2029. The long-term vision includes scaling to five modules, with a total investment of $15 billion, to further solidify Brazil's leadership in advanced biofuels. The project aims to decarbonize the aviation and road transport sectors by approximately 80% and sequester atmospheric carbon through macaúba cultivation.

The Global Biofuel Shift: How Brazil’s Ethanol Strategy Navigates the China-US Rivalry

The global energy landscape is undergoing a structural transformation, and at the heart of this shift lies Brazil. As the world’s leading producer of sugarcane ethanol and a rapidly growing player in corn-based biofuels, Brazil finds itself in a strategic sweet spot between two superpowers: China and the United States. While the U.S. has long been a traditional partner, China’s recent pivot toward Brazilian ethanol as a cornerstone of its green transition is redefining trade dynamics and sending ripples through global commodity markets.

China’s interest in Brazilian ethanol is driven by a pragmatic necessity to meet ambitious carbon reduction targets. With a goal to integrate sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) into its massive aviation sector, which consumes over 80 million tons of fuel annually, Beijing has identified Brazil’s ethanol as a superior alternative to its current reliance on recycled cooking oil. This move is not just about environmental goals; it is a strategic play for self-sufficiency and unity among Global South nations, especially as trade tensions with the U.S. escalate over tariffs and protectionist policies.

The rise of corn ethanol in Brazil is a game-changer that brings both opportunities and complex market challenges. Historically, Brazil’s ethanol production was dominated by sugarcane, but corn-based production is projected to reach nearly 10 billion liters in the current cycle, with capacity potentially doubling by the early 2030s. This expansion is creating a "structural shift" in the domestic market, as corn ethanol begins to compete directly with sugarcane for market share. This competition is likely to depress ethanol prices at the pump, benefiting consumers but squeezing the profit margins of traditional sugarcane mills.

Corn Ethanol Expansion Strengthens Brazil’s Livestock Industry Through DDG Supply

This rapid growth in the 100% corn-based ethanol sector has had a significant and positive impact on Brazil’s livestock industry, particularly in Mato Grosso, home to the country’s largest beef cattle herd. Cattle ranchers in the state view this expansion favorably, mainly due to the increased availability of dried distillers grains (DDG).

DDG is a valuable co-product of ethanol production, obtained from the fermentation of corn starch. With a low moisture content of approximately 10% to 12%, it is easy to store and has become a key component of animal nutrition. Modern livestock farming is built on four main pillars, genetics, nutrition, management, and animal health, with nutrition playing a central role in economic efficiency and profitability.

DDG is especially valued for its crude protein content, which typically ranges from 25% to 32%. This makes it a competitive substitute for soybean meal, which generally contains around 43% crude protein, offering a more cost-effective option and helping to reduce feed costs for producers. The use of DDG in cattle nutrition is well established in the United States, and as Brazil’s corn ethanol industry expands, the product is increasingly reaching international markets.

In 2025 alone, ethanol producers in Mato Grosso exported approximately 73,000 metric tons of DDG, generating revenues of $22.4 million, according to a survey by the Federation of Industries of Mato Grosso (FIEMT).

Beyond the fuel pumps

The repercussions of this corn ethanol boom also extend to the global food and sugar markets. As more corn is diverted to ethanol production, the competition between domestic consumption and exports is intensifying. This trend, coupled with falling corn stocks in China and a potential resumption of large-scale Chinese imports, could drive corn prices significantly higher, echoing the peaks seen in previous harvest cycles. Furthermore, as Brazilian mills face increased competition from corn ethanol, they may pivot back toward sugar production, potentially flooding the global sugar market and impacting international prices at a time when they are already under pressure.

The geopolitical implications are equally significant. The strengthening Brazil-China relationship, characterized by high-level diplomatic engagements and discussions on financing through the BRICS framework, signals a move toward greater economic integration that bypasses traditional Western-centric financial structures. For Brazil, this means balancing its "best moment" in relations with China, its largest trading partner for soy, iron ore, and meat, with the volatile trade environment shaped by U.S. policy.

Ultimately, Brazil’s role in the global energy transition is no longer just about being a supplier of raw materials. It is about navigating a complex web of industrial competition, food security, and superpower rivalry. As the world watches the development of sustainable aviation (SAF) and maritime fuels, Brazil’s ability to manage the delicate balance between corn and sugarcane, and between Beijing and Washington, will determine its standing as a sovereign leader in the new green economy.

Petrobras's (PETR3; PETR4) Strategic Shift: Brazil's Oil Giant Driving Energy Transition and Market Records

As Brazil’s stock market reaches a historic milestone, surpassing the 170,000-point mark on the Ibovespa, driven by a strong wave of foreign investment, Petrobras is standing at the center of this momentum. Operating at near-full capacity, the state-controlled oil giant has become a key pillar supporting investor confidence and market optimism.

Petrobras is not only benefiting from the current rally but actively shaping it through efficiency gains, record production levels, and a clear strategic shift toward cleaner energy.

Petrobras Refining at Near-Full Capacity Boosts Investor Confidence

The Ibovespa’s move above 170,000 points this Wednesday (21) was fueled by the strong performance of large-cap stocks, with Petrobras playing a central role. When Brazil’s main index climbs to record highs, it reflects confidence in both corporate earnings and the broader economy, and Petrobras’ operational strength is a major part of that equation.

Between 2023 and 2025, Petrobras refineries operated with an average Total Utilization Factor (TUF) of 92%, up from 88% in 2022. Over the same period, the company increased average oil product output by 3% and expanded S-10 diesel production capacity by more than 20%, adding 138 thousand barrels per day (kbpd).

These numbers clearly signal improvements in operational efficiency, asset optimization, and sustained investment in refinery modernization. The result has been a more resilient supply of high-quality fuels with a lower environmental impact.

S-10 Diesel Expansion Cuts Imports and Improves Air Quality

The expansion of S-10 diesel, Brazil’s lowest-sulfur diesel, was made possible through projects at the Reduc, Replan, Revap, and Rnest refineries. By boosting domestic output, Petrobras has reduced the country’s dependence on imports while also contributing to cleaner air, given the fuel’s lower sulfur content.

William França, Petrobras’ Executive Director of Industrial Processes, summarized the strategy clearly, and I agree with his assessment:

“The projects implemented in recent years have steadily increased the capacity and operational flexibility of our refining system. The expansions at our refinery units are the result of efficiency gains, process modernization, and applied engineering, always with a focus on safety and operational reliability.”

Efficiency gains have translated directly into new records. From 2023 to 2025, average diesel production rose 3.1%, while gasoline output jumped 9.3%, reaching historical averages of 419 thousand barrels per day of gasoline and 452 thousand barrels per day of S-10 diesel.

Petrobras Biorefining Strategy Strengthens Brazil’s Energy Transition

One of the most compelling elements of Petrobras’ long-term strategy is its advance in biorefining. The company’s refineries are already adapted to produce renewable diesel (Diesel R), with current capacity of around 74 thousand cubic meters per month. Petrobras already markets R5 diesel, widely used in public transportation fleets.

Looking ahead, the roadmap for sustainable fuels is becoming clearer:

• Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF): Petrobras refineries have been adapted through co-processing routes, allowing airlines operating in Brazil to begin using SAF from 2027, in line with the Future Fuel Law and the mandatory phase of Corsia, the ICAO emissions-reduction program.

• Dedicated Renewable Fuel Plants: The company is running a bidding process to build its first plant dedicated to 100% renewable fuels at the Presidente Bernardes Refinery (RPBC), with capacity of 15 kbpd.

• Pioneering Renewable Operations: By the end of the first quarter, Petrobras will begin operating at Refinaria Riograndense (RPR), the first refinery in Brazil to run entirely on renewable feedstock.

Offshore Investments: Petrobras Drives Decarbonization in the Naval Industry

Even as Petrobras accelerates its refining and biorefining transformation, its core oil and gas operations continue to drive major investments across Brazil’s industrial chain, especially in the naval sector.

Recently, Brazil’s development bank, BNDES, approved R$ 1.98 billion in financing for Bram Offshore Transportes Marítimos to build six hybrid offshore support vessels (PSV 5000 class). These vessels will operate under 12-year charter contracts with Petrobras, transporting supplies between offshore platforms and onshore bases.

The project is expected to generate 620 direct jobs during construction and features hybrid diesel-electric propulsion, battery banks, and shore power connection. From my perspective, this is a clear example of how Petrobras’ long-term operational demand is accelerating the adoption of cleaner, more efficient technologies throughout its supply chain.

How Petrobras Is Shaping Financial Markets While Driving Brazil’s Energy Transition

Taken together, these developments reinforce Petrobras’ dual role in Brazil today. On one hand, the company is delivering strong operational results with near-full refinery utilization, record fuel production, and reduced import dependence. All of this helps sustain the historic rally in the Brazilian stock market. At the same time, the company is steadily advancing toward a more diversified, cleaner, and more sustainable energy matrix. 

From refining efficiency to biorefining leadership and green investments in offshore logistics, Petrobras is not merely adapting to the energy transition, but actively shaping it, while helping anchoring investor confidence in Brazil’s economy.