Wednesday, 5 June 2019

The financial market in Brazil continues to believe in the economic team of the current government, even with the continuous negative results of the economy in 2019

Speaking at the Finance and Taxation Commission of the Chamber of Deputies, Brazil's economy minister, Paulo Guedes, defended the pension reform as the only way to reposition the country on the path of growth. The speech was viewed positively by the Brazilian financial market. Guedes said that it is necessary to disinfect the public machine and "slow down hiring" of more public servants.

The minister's speech was well received by the financial market, so much so that at the end of yesterday (04.jun.2019) the Stock Exchange (Bovespa) closed close to the high of the day. Therefore, Brazilian financial actors continue betting on the economic team of the current government, even after the continuous negative numbers of the economy.

As I have already written here, "the truth is that the Brazilian Financial Markets (analysts and economists) and the Brazilian businessmen bet very high on a government that was not able to respond to the height to that bet".

Many analysts and economists continue to make the same error of analysis and do not see or do not want to see the undeniable distance between the speech and the actual capacity of the current government to deliver reforms and public policies capable of taking Brazil out of the crisis.

Guedes again confuses some things. The creation of a digital government, where some services are being offered via the internet, does not necessarily mean hiring fewer public servants. When compared to other OECD countries, the level of public servants in Brazil is much lower than in most other countries. The country lacks, for example, the necessary number of doctors, teachers, and police to meet the basic needs of the country.


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