Fed cuts interest rates and Covid-19 may lead Brazilian Central Bank to rethink monetary policy and cut interest rates again in Brazil

The Federal Reserve's (Fed) decision to cut interest rates led the Brazilian Central Bank to practically discard the minutes of the institution's last meeting of the Monetary Policy Committee (Copom). In it, the Brazilian Central Bank indicated the end of the process of cutting the basic interest rate (Selic), which currently stands at 4.25% per year, the lowest level in the country's history.

Yesterday, the Brazilian Central Bank issued a new note in which it indicates that the Monetary Policy Committee (Copom) may reduce the interest rate again. This change in Brazilian monetary policy intends to further slow the country's economy, mainly due to the unfolding of the economic crisis generated by the new coronavirus (Covid-19).

Meanwhile, in Brazil, Economy Minister Paulo Guedes insists on long-term reforms (pension reform, administrative reform, and tax reform) to combat short-term economic issues (coronavirus and Fed interest rate cuts).

Concurrently, in Brazil, rains on the coast of São Paulo and Rio de Janeiro cause the death of 19 people and leave hundreds homeless. The labor market in Brazil, according to IBGE, continues to break records in the growth of informality. For this reason, according to the IBGE, "since 2016, the country has shown a drop in the proportion of the employed population that contributes to a social security institute". This may result in the effects of the Pension Reform not having the results expected by the government.

São Paulo Stock Exchange, the B3, rises 0.9% and reaches 100,303 points; Natura (NATU3) leads high

Shortly after Fed Chairman Jerome Powell announced that he would keep interest rates in the US between 2.25% and 2.5% a year, the Ibovespa returned to reach 100,000 points today (19.June.2019) in Brazil. 

The commercial dollar, in turn, fell 0.25% today and reached R$ 3.85 in the sale. It was the second low followed by the currency and the lowest since April 10 (R$ 3,824) in 2019.

The shares of Natura (NATU3), a cosmetics company, rose 5.3% and led the highs in the Ibovespa today, after news that the cosmetics manufacturer got in court right to a tax benefit.

Natura obtained in the Federal Regional Court (TRF) of the 3rd Region, in São Paulo, the right to exclude up to 60% of its expenses from income tax and Social Contribution on Net Income (CSLL). technological research and development of technological innovation.