Showing posts with label AI; inteligência artificial; mercado de trabalho. Show all posts
Showing posts with label AI; inteligência artificial; mercado de trabalho. Show all posts

Wednesday, 22 April 2026

The end of 'hyper-globalisation': How AI and the climate crisis are reshaping our world

AI research has advanced from being a concept in science fiction to becoming a basic part of modern society which delivers exceptional efficiency and user-friendly solutions. The implementation of AI systems that monitor our speech and behavior has created an experience which people find challenging to control thus leading to feelings of impending doom. 

The O Assunto podcast featured a recent episode in which renowned economist and philosopher Eduardo Giannetti presented his argument that "hyper-globalisation" has now reached its final point of existence which began with the 1980s liberalization initiatives of Margaret Thatcher and Ronald Reagan. The current dismantling of this era takes place through three major events which include the 2008 financial crisis and the Covid-19 pandemic and the protectionism policies of the Trump administration.

The fragmenting order

The warnings are coming from unlikely places. Larry Fink, CEO of BlackRock — the world’s largest asset manager — recently cautioned investors that the "old capitalism" is fragmenting. Fink’s primary concern is that AI, far from being a universal tide that lifts all boats, may instead become a powerful engine for wealth concentration.

Giannetti agrees that we are at a crossroads. "Hyper-globalisation increased the interdependence of markets, but it also revealed immense fragilities," he says. The pandemic exposed the risks of lean, global supply chains that rely on a handful of suppliers for critical goods, from pharmaceutical ingredients in China to advanced chips in Taiwan. "The strict logic of economic efficiency failed to account for security," Giannetti observes.

AI: Productivity or peril?

While techno-optimists predict that AI could boost productivity by 5% in the coming years, others fear it could compromise 40% of jobs worldwide. The UN Secretary-General, António Guterres, has even ranked the unchecked advancement of AI alongside the climate crisis as an existential threat to humanity.

The central question of the AI era is one of distribution. If AI generates a massive economic surplus by reducing costs and increasing efficiency, who captures that value? The fear is that this "surplus" will be hoovered up by a tiny elite: the owners of AI companies and a small class of highly skilled professionals capable of orchestrating these complex systems. Meanwhile, the "losers" will be the vast majority of professionals whose tasks are progressively automated.

"The machines of the 21st century are beginning to perform tasks alone, faster and more efficiently than humans, without needing holidays or sick leave," Giannetti notes. In a world where the 400 richest Americans already hold more wealth than the bottom 150 million, the potential for social instability is profound.

The Digital Oracle

This concern is not new. Joseph Weizenbaum, creator of ELIZA, the first chatbot in the 1960s, observed his own secretary developing an intimate bond with the program, preferring its counsel over human interaction. This anecdote highlights a recurring theme: humans readily project emotional and intellectual authority onto AI, even when aware of its artificial nature.

For Weizenbaum, any professional who did that would be abandoning or giving very little importance to interhuman relationships, which, in turn, were the field where all civilizations were produced. Civilizations are the fruit of communal life. As Aristotle would say, man is a "zoon politikon" (political/social animal) by nature, meaning that he only realizes his essence and achieves happiness (eudaimonia) by living in community (polis).

Today, this phenomenon has escalated. Reports, including one in The Economist, indicate a growing trend of individuals consulting AI chatbots for psychological support, often bypassing human therapists. While some argue that AI offers a non-judgmental space for users to hear what they want to hear, experts like Weizenbaum, even in the 1960s, posited that any professional replaceable by a digital program deserves to be replaced, implying a failure to provide the uniquely human elements of empathy and genuine connection. 

According to evolutionary biologist Edward O. Wilson, "we have Paleolithic emotions, medieval institutions, and god-like technology". Therefore, our ancient emotional frameworks are ill-equipped to handle technologies capable of planetary destruction and profound social disruption. AI, in this context, can exacerbate isolation by validating users' biases and fostering a dangerous sense of self-sufficiency that detaches them further from social groups. The consequences can be dire. 

The rapid expansion of human knowledge has also led to the demise of the traditional "scholar" — the polymath capable of mastering diverse fields. Today, specialization is so extreme that even experts struggle to communicate across disciplines without intermediaries. This hyper-specialization, a consequence of the Enlightenment's drive for rationalization, has gone too far, culminating in a model where the ultimate goal of human endeavor becomes a predictable, mathematical robot.

A new Cold War

We are also entering what many describe as a new Cold War. Instead of nuclear warheads, the new arms race is over "Artificial General Intelligence" (AGI). The rivalry between the US and China is no longer just about trade; it is about sovereignty. Whichever nation achieves AGI first may gain an insurmountable lead in both economic and military power.

This competition is already hindering global regulation. When companies like Anthropic attempt to set ethical boundaries, governments simply turn to rivals like OpenAI. Without a transnational authority to set the rules of the game, we are in "dangerous territory," where corporate and national competition overrides the collective interests of humanity.

The Brazilian opportunity

However, Giannetti offers a surprisingly hopeful perspective for emerging economies, particularly Brazil. During the era of hyper-globalisation, Brazil struggled to integrate into global value chains, remaining largely a commodity exporter. But as the world moves toward "near-shoring" and seeks reliable, geopolitically stable partners with abundant natural resources, Brazil’s hand has strengthened.

"Brazil has everything it needs to rethink and reposition itself," Giannetti argues. The country’s wealth of critical minerals, clean energy, and food production capacity makes it an attractive partner for the US, China, and Europe alike. "We can use the rivalry between the great powers to our advantage, negotiating for technology and capital to industrialise our comparative advantages."

Brazil also has strong potential to become a global AI hub, but achieving this depends on establishing clear governance, regulation, and strategic direction. While countries like the U.S., China, and Europe currently lead, Brazil can compete by focusing on the responsible and strategic use of AI, especially in business applications.

A key priority is building robust AI governance within companies, starting with internal committees, clear policies, and employee training. Rather than restricting AI, organizations should guide its use to improve efficiency and competitiveness, while addressing risks such as misuse of generative tools.

Brazil can learn from global experiences but must avoid superficial adoption driven by hype. Many AI initiatives lack clear purpose or return on investment, and a significant portion may be abandoned as companies mature in their strategies.

Regulation remains a delicate balance: overly strict rules could hinder innovation, while insufficient oversight raises concerns about data security, copyright, and bias. 

Finally, companies and universities play a critical role in building an AI ecosystem by promoting education, defining responsibilities, and integrating AI into organizational structures. With coordinated efforts in governance, strategy, and collaboration, Brazil can harness AI’s potential while managing its risks.

Wednesday, 10 September 2025

Artificial Intelligence in Brazil: How AI Is Transforming Jobs, Skills, and the Future of Work

 

A New Chapter for Work in Brazil

Artificial intelligence is no longer a faraway promise. It is here, and it is already changing the working culture in Brazil. Through São Paulo's call centers, AI is already speeding into offices and factories and even spill over into creative industries. However, such transformations are overlaid with deep concerns: Who would get richer? And who would be left poorer? 

Recent discussions in global media shed light on the stakes involved in it all. "How AI Is Causing a White-Collar Bloodbath" warns that white-collar roles-enter once considered safe-are now under threat. "AI Exchanges: AI's Impact on Employment" explains the reallocation of jobs, i.e., some jobs leave while others come in. Dr. Roman Yampolskiy's message is quite blunt in the video "These Are The Only 5 Jobs That Will Remain in 2030!": Only those professions that require human creativity, empathy, and ethical judgment will remain untouched according to him.

The Brazilian Picture

A Job Market in Transition

Pressure is already being felt in Brazil. Job postings demanding AI skills jumped from 19,000 in 2021 to 73,000 in 2024, almost reaching a figure four times that in 3 years. However, 30% of Brazilians have lesser digital skills. The alarming point is that the demand for jobs rises as the workforce falls behind.

Millions at Risk

Studies estimate that the number of workers that could be hit by AI maybe upward of 37 million, with 2 million jobs at risk of being fully automated. Projections are that 30 million positions could be disrupted, all by 2026. Such waves will be more felt in municipalities already starved for work.

Optimism Meets Unease

The Brazilians are embracing technology: more than half, 54%, used generative AI tools in 2024, well-above the global average. Trust is also high: 65% claimed to be confident about AI. And yet, anxiety prevails: 83% think that the onslaught of automation would make it harder to find jobs, while about 80% also fear that it would increase inequality. That is the biggest paradox: the excitement about opportunity, yet the simultaneous fear of being left out.

Small Firms, Big Hurdles

The Brazilian companies also find clear advantages: speed of operation, better customer service, and reduced costs. 65% of companies admit to making use of generative AI, while 28% have a tough time employing skilled talent to put the technology to work. Without any further training and support, the smaller players will have a hard time keeping up with the big corporations.

What Comes Next?

The government began taking notice. Brasília devised, in 2024, an AI plan of some R$23 billion (about $4 billion) to promote research, training, and regulation. Perhaps this plan will indeed help bridge the digital divide and train millions for jobs of the foreseeable future. 

For USP researchers, learning and qualifications are essential for workers to adapt and maintain competitiveness in this new market. Furthermore, research indicates that artificial intelligence also has the potential to create new jobs. In the United Kingdom, according to a PwC study, the arrival of artificial intelligence could create 2.7 million jobs. In Brazil, however, the numbers are not as encouraging.

The Bottom Line

The AI is rewriting the working environment across Brazil. Clerical and managerial jobs are at risk, while creative, people-centered, and technology-oriented jobs gain ground. The urgency is that education must be spread and workers must be retrained so that AI does not deepen social divides.

Brazil stands at a crossroads. The country can allow automation to increase inequality, or it can start transforming the rise of AI into a force for shared prosperity. The choice is fast running out on them.


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