Interest rate cuts in Brazil are more than priced on curves. Now, after the approval of the first-round Social Security Reform in the Chamber of Deputies, the Brazilian financial market expects the next Copom meeting to decide to cut the basic courses of the Brazilian economy.
Currently, Selic is at 6.5% per year. The Brazilian financial market bets on a cut of at least 0.25%. There are also those who bet on a 0.50% cut.
The Focus Report released today by the Brazilian Central Bank presented a scenario of the Brazilian economy without major changes. According to Focus, there is an upward trend in the exchange rate in Brazil – the projected exchange rate for 2020 remains at R$ 3,90 – which indicates that foreign investors have not yet raised their capital in Brazil.
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